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BOH Regional Banks · Regional bank · Hawaii · Dividend payer · Thesis updated July 27, 2026

Margins keep expanding, but Hawaii still sets the pace

01 Running thesis

Margin momentum meets island risk

Bank of Hawaii delivered another strong quarter in Q2 2026. Net income reached $63.8 million, and earnings per share hit $1.47. The standout metric was net interest margin, which expanded for the ninth consecutive quarter to 2.78%. The bank is widening the gap between what it earns on loans and what it pays for deposits.

Management sees more room to run. They are guiding for the net interest margin to approach 2.9% by the end of 2026, assuming a rate hike in September. While overall loan growth remains positive, the bank expects consumer loan demand to slow down as interest rates stay high.

The bear case has not gone away. Bank of Hawaii is tied closely to one economy. With high concentration in the Hawaiian market, any weakness in local tourism or real estate could hurt the bank. The strategic runoff of higher-cost public deposits also raises questions about the overall size of the earning asset base.

Finn's view is balanced. Profitability has improved, credit losses are very low at just 8 basis points, and the franchise is hard to copy. But the valuation score is not high enough to ignore the price, and 2026 still has open questions about deposit costs and consumer loan demand.

Jul 2026Q2 2026 results showed continued momentum. Net interest margin expanded for the ninth consecutive quarter to 2.78%, and management guided for margins to approach 2.9% by year-end.
Apr 2026Q1 2026 strengthened the case. Net income rose 31%, net interest margin reached 2.74%, and loans grew 0.8% from year-end 2025, led by commercial lending.
Feb 2026The 2025 10-K confirmed a sharp earnings rebound, with net income up 37.3% and net interest margin at 2.45%. The offset was flat full-year loan growth and a more cautious Hawaii outlook.
Oct 2025Q3 2025 showed more earnings strength and a third straight quarter of margin expansion. The concern was that loans were still down 0.4% year to date.
Jul 2025Q2 2025 kept the earnings recovery going, but management became more cautious on Hawaii due to federal policy and tariff risks.
Apr 2025Q1 2025 marked a positive turn after 2024 pressure. Net income rose 21%, net interest margin improved, and non-performing assets decreased.
Mar 2025The 2024 10-K showed earnings pressure, with net income down 12% because of margin compression. It also added clearer risks tied to banking sector confidence and Maui wildfire effects.
Oct 2024Initial view: BOH had a durable Hawaii franchise, but Q3 2024 profitability was under pressure and the main debate was margin recovery versus local concentration risk.
02 Business model

A deposit bank in an island market

Bank of Hawaii is a traditional bank. It gathers deposits from people, businesses, and public customers. It then uses that funding to make loans and buy securities. The difference between interest earned and interest paid is its main profit engine.

The bank also earns fees. These come from trust and asset management, deposit accounts, card services, mortgage banking, insurance, and other customer services. In 2025, total noninterest income was $179.1 million, while net interest income was $537.5 million, so spread income was still the larger piece.

Its edge is local. The bank was founded in 1897 and has deep ties in Hawaii, Guam, and other Pacific Islands. That brand and local knowledge can help keep deposits stable and credit decisions careful.

The same focus can hurt it. Most of the loan portfolio is in Hawaii. At year-end 2025, $13.1 billion of $14.1 billion in total loans were in Hawaii. A local tourism slump, real estate decline, storm, wildfire, or federal spending shock can hit the bank more directly than a more spread-out lender.

03 Product portfolio

Loans, deposits, fees, and securities

Growth engine

Commercial lending

This includes commercial mortgages, commercial and industrial loans, construction loans, and lease financing. This segment has led recent loan growth, balancing out softer consumer demand.

Steady

Residential mortgages

Home loans are a large part of the balance sheet. Residential mortgage loans were $4.8 billion at March 31, 2026 and have seen modest but steady growth.

Cash cow

Home equity and consumer loans

The bank offers home equity, auto, and other consumer loans. Management expects consumer loan demand to moderate due to higher interest rates.

Cash cow

Deposits

Checking, savings, and time deposits fund the bank. The bank has structurally advantaged deposit costs, though it faces high deposit competition.

Steady

Trust and asset management

These services bring in fee income that is less tied to loan balances, providing a reliable income stream outside of traditional interest spreads.

Steady

Investment securities

The securities portfolio helps manage liquidity and interest income. It is mainly composed of U.S. government agency and government-sponsored enterprise securities.

04 Business segments

Commercial now carries more profit

Consumer Banking45%declining
Commercial Banking55%modest

The mix shown uses 2025 positive segment net income from the annual segment discussion: Consumer Banking earned $118.4 million and Commercial Banking earned $142.1 million. Treasury and Other is excluded as it is mainly balance sheet management.

05 Risk factors

What could break the case

Hawaii slowdown

High impact · Medium odds

Bank of Hawaii is highly concentrated in Hawaii. Management said the local economy had slow and uneven growth, with tourism still soft. If visitor volumes, hotel demand, or local spending weaken, borrowers may slow hiring, delay projects, or miss payments.

We watchMonthly Hawaii visitor arrivals and spending, plus management's Hawaii economy comments in each 10-Q.

Margin target miss

High impact · Medium odds

The bull case depends heavily on reaching the 2.9% net interest margin target by year-end 2026. If deposit costs rise faster than expected, loan yields reprice lower, or the expected September rate hike does not happen, earnings could lose momentum.

We watchNet interest margin versus the 2.9% target, deposit costs, and federal reserve rate decisions.

Consumer loan growth fades

Medium impact · Medium odds

Management noted that consumer loan demand is expected to moderate due to high interest rates. If this slowdown is more severe than anticipated, total loan growth could stall and pressure net interest income.

We watchQuarterly total loan growth and specifically consumer loan balances.

Real estate and disaster exposure

High impact · Low odds

The loan book is tied to local property markets. The 2024 10-K noted that the 2023 Maui wildfires hurt real estate values in the wildfire area and left Maui's visitor industry depressed. Future storms, wildfires, or a housing downturn could pressure collateral values and credit costs.

We watchOahu home and condo prices, Maui tourism recovery, and non-performing assets.
06 Quick answers

In one breath

Is Bank of Hawaii only a Hawaii bank?

Most of the business is tied to Hawaii, but the bank also serves Guam and other Pacific Islands. The Hawaii concentration is the key point for investors because most loans are in that state.

Why are Bank of Hawaii earnings improving?

The biggest reason is a wider net interest margin. In Q2 2026, net interest margin expanded for the ninth straight quarter to 2.78%, boosting net income to $63.8 million.

What is the biggest risk for BOH stock?

The largest risk is that Hawaii's economy weakens. Tourism is still soft, and the bank has heavy local loan exposure, so a local slowdown can show up in loan growth and credit quality.

What should investors watch next?

Watch whether the bank hits its 2.9% net interest margin target by the end of 2026. Also watch whether consumer loan demand remains stable despite higher interest rates.

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