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BULL Financial Technology · Brokerage · Retail trading · Mobile app · Thesis updated September 6, 2026

Profitable growth, but key cost catalysts face major delays

01 Running thesis

Active traders stay busy

Webull is built for people who trade from a phone and want more tools than a basic investing app gives them. The company has gained share with younger, self-directed investors, then pushed into more countries and into B2B services for foreign brokerages that want U.S. market access.

The main bear case used to be simple. Critics believed the company could grow but not make money. That case is retired now. Webull reported $571 million of revenue in 2025 and reached $28.5 billion in customer assets by Q2 2026, driven by sustained operating profitability and international traction in the APAC region.

The near-term setup got a massive boost from the SEC removal of the Pattern Day Trader rule on June 4, 2026. That rule had limited frequent day trading in smaller accounts. Webull active traders often have smaller accounts, and removing the rule has unlocked significant options and equity volumes.

This is not a clean win yet. Management recently announced they do not anticipate clearing trades internally for some time, delaying a major margin improvement lever. Additionally, the business still depends heavily on U.S. payment for order flow. If regulators change that model or if retail trading cools, the growth story will slow.

Aug 2026Q2 2026 showed $28.5 billion in customer assets and record volumes following the PDT rule removal, though self-clearing was delayed indefinitely.
May 2026Q1 2026 added concrete catalysts like PDT rule removal, early U.S. self-clearing approval, and B2B traction. Institutional flow reached 9.5% of equity notional volume.
Apr 2026The 2025 Form 20-F showed $571 million of revenue and positive net income. It also kept a watch item alive because ordinary shareholders still saw a large accounting-driven loss.
Mar 2026Q4 2025 showed customer assets at $24.6 billion and a fifth straight quarter of operating profitability. Vega also showed early user traction, with 1.2 million weekly global users.
Nov 2025Q3 2025 broadened the story beyond retail brokerage. Webull added Vega, sports prediction markets, crypto trading, and more B2B partnerships.
Aug 2025Q2 2025 reduced the structural loss concern after three straight quarters of operating profitability. Webull Premium and crypto added new ways to make money.
02 Business model

Paid for retail order flow

Webull makes money in a few ways. In the U.S., its largest revenue source is equity and option order flow rebates. In plain English, Webull routes customer orders to market makers and receives payment for that order flow. Outside the U.S., it can charge customers more directly through commissions and platform fees.

The second big piece is interest related income. Webull earns from customer cash deposits, margin loans, and stock lending. In 2025, interest related income was $154.3 million, or 27.0% of total revenue. That makes interest rates and customer cash balances important to results.

Smaller but important levers are growing. Prediction markets are generating $5 million to $6 million per quarter, significantly outpacing crypto revenue. The B2B side is also scaling, with institutional assets exceeding $1.4 billion and accounting for roughly 5% of total assets by Q2 2026.

Self-clearing was supposed to be the next major operating test. Webull received approval for a U.S. self-clearing license in early 2026. However, the rollout is delayed. This means the anticipated drop in transaction costs and improved pricing for institutional partners will not materialize in the near future.

03 Product portfolio

Tools for traders, plus new bets

Cash cow

Retail brokerage app

This is the core product. Customers trade equities, ETFs, options, bonds, and other assets through a mobile-first platform with advanced data and longer trading sessions.

Cash cow

Options trading

Options are a major revenue driver, highly sensitive to active trading behavior and the recent removal of day trading limits.

Growth engine

Webull Premium

Premium is the paid subscription layer for active traders and longer-term investors, creating a more predictable recurring revenue stream.

Option

Vega and AI tools

Vega is Webull's AI assistant for research and trading questions. The company is actively rolling out agentic portfolio capabilities and one-click construction tools.

Growth engine

B2B market access

Webull sells U.S. market access and routing services to foreign brokerages and institutions, holding over $1.4 billion in institutional assets.

Option

Prediction markets

Webull offers sports prediction markets through Kalshi, generating roughly $5 million to $6 million per quarter and growing fast.

04 Business segments

Revenue is still concentrated

Equity and option order flow rebates53%growing fast
Interest related income27%modest
Handling charge income15%growing fast
Other revenues4%growing fast

The mix below uses Webull's 2025 Form 20-F revenue components for the year ended December 31, 2025. Webull does not present these as separate operating segments, so the split is a revenue-line view.

05 Risk factors

What can break

PFOF rule change

High impact · Medium odds

Payment for order flow is central to Webull trading revenue. Equity and option order flow rebates were 53.3% of total revenue in 2025. A rule change that caps, bans, or changes this model could hit revenue and pricing.

We watchSEC and FINRA actions on payment for order flow, plus the equity and option order flow rebate line.

Retail trading slowdown

High impact · Medium odds

Webull does best when customers trade often. Its results are tied to active trading accounts and options volumes. If markets get quiet or customers trade less, revenue can fall faster than accounts fall.

We watchDARTs, equity notional volume, options contracts, and customer assets each quarter.

Self-clearing execution risk

Medium impact · High odds

Self-clearing can lower costs and help the B2B business, but the transition has been pushed out indefinitely. Continued reliance on third parties for clearing limits margin expansion and creates structural pricing disadvantages compared to peers.

We watchManagement updates on the timeline for U.S. self-clearing and related clearing cost trends.

AI tool mistakes

Medium impact · Medium odds

Webull is leaning into AI research and agentic tools for trade execution. If an AI tool gives bad information, acts outside a customer intent, or creates trade errors, Webull could face customer harm and regulator attention.

We watchCustomer complaints, new AI controls, regulator comments, and any limits placed on agentic trading features.

Global expansion complexity

Medium impact · Medium odds

International growth is a key part of the story, with APAC assets exceeding $5 billion. Each country has its own rules, licenses, and customer habits. Weak local adoption could make expansion spend less efficient.

We watchNon-U.S. funded accounts, non-U.S. revenue, and integration updates for acquisitions like Pi Securities.
06 Quick answers

In one breath

How does Webull make money if trading looks free?

In the U.S., Webull earns payment for order flow on many equity and options trades. It also earns interest income from customer cash, margin loans, stock lending, subscriptions, and fees in non-U.S. markets.

Why does the PDT rule matter for Webull?

The Pattern Day Trader rule limited frequent day trading for smaller accounts. Its removal on June 4, 2026 is a major tailwind because many Webull active traders can now trade more freely, driving up volumes.

Is Webull profitable?

Webull reported 2025 net income of $24.4 million on $571 million of revenue and continues to demonstrate sustained operating profitability, retiring the historical bear case about structural unprofitability.

What is the biggest risk for BULL stock?

The biggest risk is that the main revenue engine depends on active trading and payment for order flow. If trading activity slows or regulators change how order routing is paid, Webull revenue base could weaken.

07 Research standards

Sources and research notes

This page combines Finn's company research with public filings and other cited materials. The thesis is reviewed when material company information changes; Finn Scores use the latest available scoring data.

Thesis reviewed
September 6, 2026
Score data
September 6, 2026
Reviewed by
Shivam Bharuka
  1. Webull Q2 2026 earnings transcript
  2. Webull 2025 Form 20-F
  3. Webull Q1 2026 earnings transcript
  4. Webull Q4 2025 earnings transcript
08 Explore the industry

Comparable Software - Application companies

Companies near Webull Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares in Finn's Software - Application industry ranking.

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