Finn
CIGI Real Estate Services · Commercial real estate · Engineering · Asset management · Thesis updated August 5, 2026

Three growth engines firing despite margin pressure

01 Running thesis

Growth across the board

Colliers has a clearer growth setup now that all three segments are expanding. Engineering was already the big story, and the Ayesa deal has now closed, bringing in new global capabilities in desalination and marine sectors. Second quarter results added strong momentum in Commercial Real Estate Services, with capital markets and leasing both growing more than 20%.

That broad transaction recovery helps offset the known headwind in Investment Management. Spending on integration under the Harrison Street brand is pulling margins down for a few quarters, with the second quarter net margin hitting 36.5%.

The bear case remains tied to this margin compression. Management expects this business to stay in the high 30s before recovering toward the low 40s in 2027. If fundraising falls short of the $6 billion to $9 billion target, that recovery could slip.

The stock also needs proof that the company can bring its debt down. Leverage ended the second quarter at 2.8x. While that was better than expected, the path to 2.3x by the end of the year is an important test for the balance sheet.

Jul 2026Second quarter results showed strong revenue growth across all three segments. The Ayesa acquisition closed, and leverage came in better than expected at 2.8x.
May 2026Q1 strengthened the Commercial Real Estate Services bull case. Capital Markets revenue grew 43%, and management raised the full-year Capital Markets growth outlook to about 25%.
Feb 2026Ayesa gave Engineering a larger growth path, with management guiding that segment to more than 25% top-line growth in 2026. The offset was a sharper Investment Management margin reset into the high 30s.
Nov 2025Leasing rebounded after a weak prior quarter, with revenue up 14%. Investment Management margin pressure became a new watch item because of Harrison Street integration costs.
Jul 2025Colliers raised its full-year outlook after strength in Engineering and Capital Markets. The Investment Management rebrand to Harrison Street and the RoundShield acquisition added strategic depth.
Feb 2025Management gave a stronger 2025 outlook, including low-teens adjusted EPS growth. The thesis shifted toward execution risk in Investment Management integration rather than broad growth worry.
Nov 2024Q3 2024 EPS of $1.32 missed consensus expectations of $1.46. The lack of detailed transcript access raised uncertainty until later updates clarified the growth path.
02 Business model

Fees from buildings, projects, and capital

Colliers makes money in three main ways. It advises on commercial real estate deals, manages engineering and project work, and earns fees from investment funds through Harrison Street Asset Management.

Some of the business moves with the property cycle. Capital Markets helps clients sell buildings and arrange debt, so it can rise fast when buyers come back. Leasing also depends on tenant demand, office use, warehouse activity, and business confidence.

Management wants the company to be less exposed to that cycle. It notes that about 70% of earnings come from more resilient businesses, a mix that approaches 75% after recent acquisitions. Those include Engineering, Investment Management, Property Management, and Outsourcing.

03 Product portfolio

What Colliers sells

Growth engine

Capital Markets

This team helps clients buy, sell, and finance commercial properties. It is cyclical, but it is a major current driver inside Commercial Real Estate Services, with revenue up over 20% in the second quarter.

Growth engine

Leasing

Leasing helps landlords and tenants sign space agreements. Revenue rose more than 20% in the second quarter, marking a broad transaction recovery.

Steady

Property Management and Outsourcing

These services are more repeatable than transaction work. Management expects Outsourcing to grow around 5% for full-year 2026.

Growth engine

Engineering and Design

This segment provides engineering and project management services. It recently expanded globally with the close of the Ayesa acquisition, driving 27% revenue growth in the second quarter.

Option

Harrison Street Asset Management

This unit manages alternative real estate investments and raises new capital. The 2026 fundraising target remains $6 billion to $9 billion.

Option

RoundShield European credit platform

RoundShield adds European credit, student housing, and hospitality exposure to Investment Management. It also adds integration work, which is part of the near-term margin pressure.

04 Business segments

Revenue mix before Ayesa

Commercial Real Estate Services59%modest
Engineering31%growing fast
Investment Management10%modest

Segment shares use full-year 2025 revenue from Colliers' February 2026 annual results release. The recent close of the Ayesa acquisition will change this mix in future periods.

05 Risk factors

What can break the setup

Investment Management margin recovery slips

High impact · Medium odds

Investment Management is the main execution risk. The second quarter net margin was 36.5%, and management expects pressure to continue before recovering toward the low 40s in 2027. If integration costs last longer, earnings may disappoint even if revenue grows.

We watchInvestment Management net margin moving back toward the low 40s by 2027.

Ayesa adds scale but also debt

High impact · Medium odds

The Ayesa deal expands Engineering across the globe, but it is funded with debt. Leverage ended the second quarter at 2.8x. While that was better than expected, the company still needs to reduce this metric to 2.3x by year end.

We watchThe pace of deleveraging in the second half of 2026 toward the 2.3x target.

Tougher transaction comparables

Medium impact · Medium odds

Capital Markets and Leasing saw massive growth in the second quarter. However, the rest of the year faces tougher comparisons. Management expects growth to naturally decelerate against stronger prior-year results in the third and fourth quarters.

We watchTransaction growth rates in the third and fourth quarters versus management targets.

Fundraising misses the target

Medium impact · Medium odds

Investment Management needs fresh capital to restart stronger fee growth. The segment raised about $3 billion in the first half of the year against a 2026 goal of $6 billion to $9 billion. A shortfall in the second half would make the 2027 earnings rebound harder.

We watchQuarterly capital raised versus the $6 billion to $9 billion 2026 goal.

Global macro and currency swings

Medium impact · Medium odds

Colliers operates globally but reports in U.S. dollars, meaning currency moves can directly affect reported earnings. A weaker global economic backdrop can also hit transactions, fundraising, and engineering demand at the same time.

We watchReported foreign exchange impact on EPS and regional transaction volumes.
06 Quick answers

In one breath

What does Colliers International do?

Colliers advises on commercial real estate, manages engineering and project work, and runs real estate investment funds. Its main segments are Commercial Real Estate Services, Engineering, and Investment Management.

Why is Ayesa important for Colliers?

Ayesa makes the Engineering segment much larger and more global. With the deal now closed, it expands the company into new sectors like desalination and marine engineering.

What is the biggest risk for CIGI right now?

The biggest near-term risk is Investment Management margin pressure. The second quarter net margin dropped to 36.5%, and the thesis depends on this pressure recovering by 2027.

Is Colliers mainly a real estate broker?

Commercial real estate advice is still the largest revenue segment, but Colliers is broader than brokerage. Management says about 70% of earnings come from more resilient areas such as Engineering, Investment Management, Property Management, and Outsourcing.

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