Finn
ETOR Fintech · Trading platform · Crypto · Social investing · Thesis updated August 16, 2026

eToro buys its way into the US active trader market

01 Running thesis

More tools for active traders

eToro started as a simple trading app, but it wants to become a broader investing home. The company is adding margin trading, options, and AI features so users stay active when crypto markets cool down.

The bull case has real support from recent moves. In Q2 2026, capital markets revenue grew 25% year over year to $142 million as users shifted from commodities into equities. The planned $230 million purchase of TradeZero is a major step. It gives eToro the setup it needs to offer margin and options in the United States.

New products keep adding choices for users. The company launched eToro Edge for active traders. It also connected Agent Portfolios to outside AI models like Grok and Claude, letting these models execute trades automatically.

The bear case is that this is still a trading business with cycles. Crypto can pull users away from stocks and then cool fast. Expanding into the heavily regulated United States market also brings high compliance costs. Management must now prove it can integrate TradeZero without spending too much to acquire new customers.

Aug 2026Q2 2026 showed a shift from commodities into equities, with capital markets revenue growing 25% year over year to $142 million. The company announced a $230 million deal to buy TradeZero, expanding its United States presence with margin and options.
May 2026Q1 2026 showed the multi-asset model working, with capital markets revenue up 71% year over year to $166 million while crypto was weaker. The update also added Zengo, Agent Portfolios, the eToro App Store, and the expected H2 2026 US rollout for CopyTrader and Smart Portfolios.
Mar 2026The 2025 Form 20-F added evidence that eToro is trying to build more recurring and long-term revenue. The eToro Club Subscription launched in November 2025, and the company added partnerships for retirement and life insurance products in France.
Feb 2026Q4 2025 showed why the business is hard to judge from one asset class. Crypto net trading contribution fell 72% year over year to $26 million, but capital markets rose 43% to $116 million.
Nov 2025The initial thesis centered on eToro's social and multi-asset model. Q3 2025 net contribution rose 28% year over year to $215 million, helped by strong crypto activity and record inflows into Copy Trading.
02 Business model

Spreads, interest, and add-ons

eToro makes money when users trade. It earns net trading contribution from capital markets, meaning equities, commodities, and currencies, and from cryptoassets. The company keeps part of the spread or fee tied to trades.

A second profit stream is net interest income. eToro earns interest from user cash, corporate cash, and margin positions, after related costs. This is helpful in higher-rate periods, but it weakens when rates fall or users reduce borrowed positions.

The company also earns from eToro Money, which includes currency conversion, withdrawals, and debit card fees. The newer eToro Club Subscription adds a recurring revenue stream, but it is still small compared with trading and interest.

The model works best when users stay active across asset classes. If they rotate from crypto into equities, eToro still earns. If users stop trading entirely, or if regulators slow down new features, revenue can drop quickly.

03 Product portfolio

Products that keep users active

Cash cow

Multi-asset trading

Users can trade equities, commodities, currencies, and crypto. This is still the main money engine.

Growth engine

TradeZero and eToro Edge

TradeZero brings margin, shorting, and options to the United States. eToro Edge is a new web platform built for active traders.

Growth engine

CopyTrader

CopyTrader lets a user mirror another investor's trades. It is a key social feature expanding globally.

Growth engine

Smart Portfolios

Smart Portfolios package strategies into portfolios that users can buy. An RIA license clears the way for a United States launch in late 2026.

Option

Agent Portfolios and AI tools

Users can allocate capital to AI strategies. New connections let outside models like Grok and Claude execute trades automatically.

Option

Zengo wallet and Web3

Zengo adds a self-custodial crypto wallet. It expands eToro's crypto reach to thousands more tokens.

Steady

eToro Money and savings

eToro Money includes the card, currency conversion, and withdrawals. The company is adding local saving products like retirement partnerships.

04 Business segments

What fed 2025 net contribution

Net Trading Contribution, Equities, Commodities and Currencies46%growing fast
Net Trading Contribution, Cryptoassets18%declining
Net Interest Contribution25%declining
eToro Money10%modest
Subscriptions and Other1%modest

This mix uses fiscal 2025 net contribution components from eToro's 2025 Form 20-F. The mix can shift fast because users rotate between crypto, commodities, equities, currencies, and cash.

05 Risk factors

What could break the thesis

Crypto cycle whiplash

High impact · High odds

Crypto trading can rise fast and then fade. If both crypto and capital markets slow down at the same time, the multi-asset safety net gets weaker and revenue will drop.

We watchQuarterly net trading contribution from crypto and capital markets.

Lower rate pressure

Medium impact · High odds

Net interest income depends on user cash, margin balances, and interest rates. If rates keep falling or users borrow less during volatile periods, this income line can shrink.

We watchNet interest income, average user cash balances, and central bank rate cuts.

Cost of United States expansion

High impact · Medium odds

The $230 million TradeZero purchase gives eToro tools for the United States market, but it brings integration risk. Building a highly regulated broker-dealer business is expensive.

We watchCustomer acquisition costs in the United States and updates on the TradeZero integration.

24/5 trading may not add volume

Medium impact · Medium odds

Extended hours trading sounds good, but it may only move trades from regular hours into aftermarket hours. Management does not know how much of this is new activity.

We watchDisclosure on total stock trading volume and revenue per user after 24/5 trading expands.

Web3 compliance

Medium impact · Medium odds

Zengo moves eToro deeper into self-custody and DeFi. More tokens and on-chain activity bring tougher compliance, security, and regulatory demands.

We watchRegulatory actions tied to crypto wallets, staking, or any disclosed security incidents.
06 Quick answers

In one breath

How does eToro make money?

eToro earns from trading activity, interest income, eToro Money fees, and newer subscription services. Trading is still the biggest driver, while interest income depends on rates and user balances.

Is eToro mainly a crypto company?

Crypto is important, but eToro is not only a crypto platform. It also earns from equities, commodities, currencies, portfolios, interest, and money services, and capital markets were strong in mid-2026.

What is the main growth catalyst for eToro?

The clearest catalysts are the planned TradeZero acquisition to expand in the United States, Agent Portfolios, and the full United States rollout of CopyTrader and Smart Portfolios.

What is the biggest risk for ETOR investors?

The biggest risk is that trading activity stays cyclical. If crypto cools, equities slow, and net interest income falls at the same time, earnings can be lumpy.

07 Research standards

Sources and research notes

This page combines Finn's company research with public filings and other cited materials. The thesis is reviewed when material company information changes; Finn Scores use the latest available scoring data.

Thesis reviewed
August 16, 2026
Score data
September 6, 2026
Reviewed by
Shivam Bharuka
  1. eToro Q2 2026 earnings transcript
  2. eToro Q1 2026 earnings transcript
  3. eToro 2025 Form 20-F
08 Explore the industry

Comparable Capital Markets companies

Companies near eToro Group Ltd. in Finn's Capital Markets industry ranking.

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