Finn
FRME Regional Banks · Community bank · Midwest · Commercial credit · Thesis updated August 5, 2026

Funding pressures ease but commercial credit risks rise

01 Running thesis

Margin relief meets a rising credit bill

First Merchants recently solved a major funding headache. The bank generated $271 million in liquidity via a mortgage loan sale, using the proceeds to retire higher-cost brokered deposits and wholesale funding. This move helped ease tight loan-to-deposit ratios and allowed the net interest margin to expand to 3.38 percent.

That good news on funding came with a steep cost in credit quality. The bank revealed severe deterioration in its core commercial book. Total nonaccrual loans spiked to $118.2 million, driven primarily by a $28.1 million syndicated credit to an authorized wireless retailer and a $13.7 million sponsor-financed loan to a roofing contractor.

This shift changes the primary watch item for the business. Instead of worrying about whether customers are moving deposits to higher-yielding accounts, investors now have to worry about underwriting standards in large corporate participations. Management has already raised full-year 2026 net charge-off expectations to 40 to 45 basis points.

The bull case relies on the bank maintaining its 3.38 percent margin while keeping organic loan and deposit growth steady near 6 percent. The bear case argues that the wireless retailer and roofing contractor loans are just the beginning, warning of hidden vulnerabilities in the shared national credit portfolio that could trigger higher losses.

Jul 2026The second quarter Form 10-Q confirmed credit quality deterioration with $118.2 million in total nonaccrual loans. Funding pressures eased after a $271 million mortgage sale improved liquidity.
Jul 2026Management signaled significant credit quality deterioration as two large legacy commercial loans moved to nonaccrual status, pushing expected 2026 net charge-offs to 40 to 45 basis points.
May 2026The First Savings acquisition improved the funding mix, with noninterest-bearing deposits rising to 22.7 percent of deposits. The offset was weaker credit quality, since acquired nonaccrual loans pushed total nonaccruals to $89.6 million, while the loan-to-deposit ratio rose to 92.6 percent.
Feb 2026The 2025 Form 10-K confirmed the First Savings deal and a better headline loan-to-deposit ratio of 90.3 percent. The concern was that noninterest-bearing deposits had fallen to 14.0 percent and credit issues were rotating into residential loans.
Oct 2025Funding pressure became more visible as the loan-to-deposit ratio rose to 91.6 percent and noninterest-bearing deposits slipped to 14.1 percent. Credit issues were lower in total but moved into other loan classes.
Jul 2025Credit quality improved as nonaccrual loans fell by $6.4 million, helped by a decline in construction problem loans. The new watch item was an increase in owner-occupied commercial real estate nonaccruals.
May 2025The bank collected $22.0 million of principal on a large nonaccrual construction loan after quarter-end. That lowered one major credit concern, even though total nonaccrual loans still rose during the quarter.
Feb 2025The 2024 Form 10-K confirmed $42.7 million of charge-offs tied to two commercial and industrial relationships. That shifted the focus toward credit risk management.
02 Business model

Classic banking, spread driven

First Merchants makes most of its money the normal bank way. It gathers deposits from households, businesses, and public clients. It then lends that money out through commercial, consumer, farm, public finance, and real estate loans. The spread between loan income and funding cost is called net interest income.

Net interest income typically makes up roughly 96 percent of total revenue. That makes interest rates, deposit costs, and credit quality the main drivers of the business. The recent $271 million mortgage sale helped lower funding costs, which protects the core earning engine.

The smaller fee business includes trust, wealth management, brokerage, mortgage banking, treasury services, and deposit account charges. These fees help, but they do not change the main story. First Merchants is still mostly a lender funded by deposits.

The early 2026 First Savings deal increased scale by adding $2.4 billion of assets and 16 branches in southern Indiana, building the footprint needed to compete for larger regional business clients.

03 Product portfolio

What customers buy

Cash cow

Commercial loans

Commercial lending is the core earning engine. With recent stress in syndicated credits, commercial underwriting standards are a major focus.

Steady

Deposits

The bank offers demand, savings, money market, and time deposits. A better mix of noninterest-bearing deposits has helped stabilize the funding base.

Steady

Consumer and mortgage lending

The bank originates home loans and other consumer credit. Management actively manages this portfolio, recently selling $271 million in mortgages to free up liquidity.

Option

Wealth management

First Merchants Private Wealth Advisors offers investment management, private banking, and financial planning services. This brings fee income that is less tied to loan spreads.

Steady

Treasury and corporate services

Commercial clients use treasury management, letters of credit, and repurchase agreements. These services deepen relationships and support core operating deposits.

04 Business segments

One bank, two revenue streams

Net interest income96%modest
Noninterest income4%declining

First Merchants reports one significant business segment, community banking. The mix shown below uses first quarter 2026 total revenue inside that segment.

05 Risk factors

What could go wrong

Large commercial credit losses

High impact · High odds

Two legacy commercial credits, a wireless retailer and a roofing contractor, pushed nonaccrual loans to $118.2 million. If the bank cannot recover the principal on these large loans, earnings and capital will suffer.

We watchUltimate loss severity on the two large commercial nonaccrual loans and total net charge-offs.

Syndicated loan weakness

Medium impact · Medium odds

The trouble with the $28.1 million wireless retailer loan casts doubt on the underwriting of the broader shared national credit portfolio. More large corporate borrower defaults could force higher loan loss provisions.

We watchNew nonaccrual additions from the syndicated or sponsor-financed loan portfolios.

Acquired credit losses

Medium impact · Medium odds

The First Savings deal added $20.5 million of nonaccrual loans earlier in 2026. Management must work these down simultaneously while managing the new legacy commercial issues.

We watchUpdates on the workout progress for the First Savings problem loans.

Deposit runoff resuming

High impact · Low odds

While funding has stabilized recently, high competitor rates could entice customers to move cash. If organic deposits fall, First Merchants may have to rely on expensive wholesale funding again.

We watchQuarterly organic deposit growth and the loan-to-deposit ratio.
06 Quick answers

In one breath

What does First Merchants Corporation do?

First Merchants is a financial holding company that owns First Merchants Bank. It takes deposits, makes loans, and offers wealth, trust, brokerage, mortgage, and treasury services.

Why are commercial loans a problem right now?

The bank recently saw two large commercial loans default. A syndicated loan to a wireless retailer and a loan to a roofing contractor pushed total nonaccrual loans to $118.2 million.

How is the bank handling its funding pressures?

Management sold $271 million in mortgage loans in mid-2026 to pay down expensive wholesale funding, which helped the net interest margin expand to 3.38 percent.

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