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FULT Regional Banks · Regional bank · Dividend bank · M&A integration · Thesis updated August 11, 2026

Record earnings meet slower loan growth

01 Running thesis

Execution is improving but growth is slow

Fulton is proving it can control costs and manage interest rates. The bank posted a record operating EPS in the second quarter of 2026 and expanded its net interest margin to 3.6 percent. This performance shows the balance sheet is resilient even with interest rate volatility. The successful integration of Blue Foundry in mid-July removes a major operational hurdle, with cost savings already tracking at 24 percent.

The main problem is finding enough borrowers. Management cut its 2026 loan growth guidance to low single digits because the first half of the year was sluggish. The bank expects historical growth trends to return in the second half. If they do not, revenue growth will stall.

The open question is whether the expanded presence in northern New Jersey will spark new commercial and wealth originations. Investors also need to watch deposit costs as the bank replaces seasonal municipal outflows with retail or wholesale funding in the third quarter.

Jul 2026Second quarter 2026 results showed record operating EPS and expanding margins, but full-year loan growth guidance was cut to low single digits. The Blue Foundry integration successfully closed.
May 2026The first quarter 2026 10-Q confirmed Fulton purchased $207.7 million of in-market loans, mostly commercial mortgage loans. That made loan growth look less risky than an out-of-market reach for yield.
Apr 2026Management said the purchased commercial portfolio was in the heart of Fulton's franchise and had about a $1.2 million average loan size. It also gave a clearer Blue Foundry cost save target for the end of 2026.
Apr 2026First quarter 2026 operating EPS beat expectations at $0.55, loans grew by $121 million, and Blue Foundry officially closed. The story shifted from deal closing risk to integration execution.
Jan 2026Fourth quarter 2025 showed stronger margin performance and better credit metrics. Management also approved a $150 million buyback and guided for a return to mid-single-digit loan growth in 2026.
Oct 2025Third quarter 2025 showed record operating earnings of $0.55 per share and better efficiency. Strategic loan runoff was still a growth drag, but management said the headwind was starting to moderate.
Jul 2025Second quarter 2025 eased concerns about loan shrinkage, with net loans up $150 million and the buyback program active. The rate outlook also looked less harsh than earlier in the year.
Apr 2025First quarter 2025 framed the story as careful balance sheet cleanup. Loan balances fell as Fulton reduced some exposures, while credit metrics and expense control improved.
02 Business model

A spread business

Fulton takes deposits from households and businesses, then lends that money out through commercial loans, mortgages, home equity loans, auto loans, and other credit products. The main profit engine is the spread between what Fulton earns on loans and securities and what it pays on deposits and borrowings.

Fees add a second income stream. Fulton earns non-interest income from wealth management, trust, brokerage, insurance, cash management, mortgage activity, and service charges. The bank relies heavily on net interest income, which made up roughly 79 percent of total revenue in the first quarter of 2026.

This model works when credit losses stay low, deposits are stable, and loan demand is healthy. It breaks when borrowers stop paying, depositors demand higher rates, or management stretches for growth by buying or originating weaker loans.

03 Product portfolio

What Fulton sells

Cash cow

Commercial banking

Fulton lends to businesses through commercial real estate, commercial and industrial loans, construction loans, equipment leasing, letters of credit, and cash management. This is central to loan growth and credit risk.

Steady

Consumer banking

Checking, savings, certificates of deposit, IRAs, personal credit, auto loans, and home equity products bring in deposits and deepen customer ties. Deposit cost is the key watch item.

Steady

Residential mortgages

Fulton offers home loans across its Mid-Atlantic footprint. Mortgage volume can help fee income, but housing activity and rates drive demand.

Option

Wealth management

Investment management, trust, brokerage, insurance, and advisory services create fee income that is less tied to loan balances. It is smaller than lending but helps diversify revenue.

Growth engine

Blue Foundry expansion

The Blue Foundry deal expands Fulton in northern New Jersey. The integration is complete, and the focus is now on cost savings and cross-selling products.

Steady

Digital and branch distribution

Fulton serves customers through financial centers, ATMs, phone banking, and online and mobile banking. These channels are how the bank gathers deposits and sells loans.

04 Business segments

Revenue mix, not many segments

Net interest income79%modest
Non-interest income21%modest

Fulton reports as a bank holding company, so this mix uses first quarter 2026 revenue lines from the 10-Q rather than separate operating segments. Net interest income was $262.0 million and non-interest income was $69.8 million.

05 Risk factors

What could go wrong

Loan growth stays weak

High impact · Medium odds

Fulton lowered its 2026 loan growth target to low single digits after a slow first half. If organic originations do not improve in the second half, the bank will struggle to grow revenue without relying on portfolio purchases.

We watchQuarterly loan growth and management commentary on organic originations.

Blue Foundry cost savings slip

Medium impact · Low odds

The Blue Foundry systems integration finished on July 11. Management says they are tracking at 24 percent cost saves and target a 50 percent run rate by the end of 2026. Any delays in reaching that target could pressure operating leverage.

We watchUpdates on Blue Foundry cost synergies in the third and fourth quarters.

Deposit costs rise

Medium impact · Medium odds

Net interest margin expanded to 3.6 percent in the second quarter of 2026, but deposit competition remains tough. As seasonal municipal deposits leave in the third quarter, replacing them with retail or wholesale funding could push deposit costs up.

We watchNet interest margin and the cost of total deposits.

Credit turns worse

High impact · Low odds

Annualized net charge-offs ticked up to 0.34 percent of average loans in the second quarter. Management lowered 2026 provision guidance to between $40 million and $60 million, but a weaker economy can quickly show up in charge-offs.

We watchNon-performing assets, net charge-offs, and provision expense versus the new guidance.
06 Quick answers

In one breath

What does Fulton Financial do?

Fulton is a regional bank holding company. It takes deposits, makes consumer and commercial loans, and earns fees from wealth management, trust, brokerage, insurance, and other services.

Why does the Blue Foundry deal matter?

Blue Foundry expands Fulton in northern New Jersey and is expected to help earnings. The systems integration is complete, and the bank is focused on cutting costs and replacing third-party loans with its own.

Is Fulton growing fast?

Not right now. Management cut the 2026 loan growth target to low single digits after a slow start to the year. The next test is whether organic lending can accelerate in the second half.

What should investors watch next?

Watch loan growth, net interest margin, deposit costs, and updates on the Blue Foundry cost savings. These signals will show whether the bank can continue delivering record operating earnings.

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