Finn
FWONA Live Sports · Motorsport · Media Rights · Tracking Stock · Thesis updated August 23, 2026

F1 demand stays strong despite a lighter racing calendar

01 Running thesis

A premium sport recovering lost ground

Formula One Group owns the commercial side of Formula 1 and MotoGP. The good part is simple. More fans, scarce race slots, better media deals, and bigger sponsors can all push revenue higher over time. F1 is still a rare global sports property, and brands such as LVMH Group, Nestlé, Santander, and PepsiCo show that sponsors want to be attached to it.

The latest results highlight how sensitive the business is to the physical calendar. Primary F1 revenue dropped $410 million in the second quarter strictly because there were four fewer races than last year. However, underlying demand is exceptional. The Paddock Club is sold out for the rest of 2026, and team allocations for 2028 are already locked. Management also plans to increase the number of Sprint races in 2027 to create new revenue layers.

The Apple deal is the key upside to watch in the U.S. Management reported that total U.S. hours watched are up 13 percent, successfully capturing a younger and more female demographic. At the same time, the company is holding onto its AI rights, refusing exclusive deals so it can slice and sell those assets for a much higher total value later.

MotoGP is the other swing factor. Liberty closed the Dorna Sports deal in July 2025 and recently tapped CAA as its global sponsorship agency. The proof still has to show up in durable revenue growth, lower leverage, and clear signs that the F1 playbook works for motorcycle racing too.

Aug 2026Q2 results showed a $410 million revenue drop purely due to a lighter racing calendar, but underlying demand indicators were excellent. U.S. Apple TV hours watched rose 13 percent, and management detailed plans to add more Sprint races in 2027.
May 2026Q1 2026 showed strong reported growth, but the comparison was helped by race timing. The bigger change was negative. Bahrain and Saudi Arabia were canceled, cutting the 2026 F1 calendar from 24 races to 22 at the time.
Feb 2026Full-year 2025 results strengthened the long-term case, with total revenue of $3.9 billion and operating income of $632 million. Sponsorship passed 20 percent of primary F1 revenue, and MotoGP posted $573 million of 2025 revenue.
Nov 2025F1 signed a five-year U.S. media rights deal with Apple starting in 2026. The deal added upside in a key market, but it also raised the risk that some fans may not move from regular TV to a streaming setup.
Aug 2025Liberty completed the Dorna Sports acquisition on July 3, 2025, bringing MotoGP into the Formula One Group tracking stock. The main risk shifted from deal approval to integration and execution.
May 2025All ten F1 teams signed the 2026 Concorde Commercial Agreement, securing the sport's core commercial structure through 2030. New sponsors and the opening of the Las Vegas Grand Prix Plaza also supported the bull case.
Feb 2025The 2024 Las Vegas GP missed internal expectations on revenue and operating profit, mainly due to ticket sales. The MotoGP deal also faced a deeper European Commission review, adding uncertainty at the time.
Aug 2024The first thesis centered on F1's commercial rights model, rising fan interest, media renewals, and the pending MotoGP deal. A DOJ investigation into the Andretti rejection was added as a risk.
02 Business model

Selling scarce race weekends

Formula One Group makes money from commercial rights. Race promoters pay fees to host events. Broadcasters and streaming partners pay for media rights. Sponsors pay to put their brands around the sport. Other revenue comes from hospitality, fan products, licensing, and experiences.

Scarcity matters. F1 has said it does not plan to go above 24 regular races in a season, which helps keep race slots valuable. Instead, it is expanding the number of high-action Sprint races to drive more revenue without lengthening the season. The Concorde Agreement, the deal that governs revenue sharing and rules with F1 teams, is secured through 2030. That gives the core F1 system more stability than many sports businesses have.

The weak point is that race weekends are physical events. If a race is canceled or moved, high-value promotion fees and related revenue shift to a different quarter or disappear entirely. The 2026 Middle East cancellations turned that risk from a theory into a real financial headwind, though the company managed to recover one event by moving it to Malaysia.

The model is also shifting toward tech and direct fan relationships. The company is actively withholding its AI rights from single exclusive partners, viewing artificial intelligence as a massive segmented monetization opportunity for the future.

03 Product portfolio

What fans and partners buy

Cash cow

Formula 1 World Championship

This is the core asset. It supplies race promotion fees, media rights, sponsorship revenue, and most of the brand value behind the tracking stock.

Growth engine

MotoGP

Liberty completed the Dorna Sports acquisition in July 2025. The goal is to grow MotoGP using lessons from F1, backed by new agency partnerships like CAA.

Growth engine

Media rights and F1 TV

Broadcast and streaming deals are a major profit lever. The Apple U.S. partnership is already driving a 13 percent increase in total hours watched.

Steady

Sponsorship

Sponsorship accounts for over 20 percent of primary F1 revenue. Premium partners give the sport pricing power and reduce reliance on any one revenue stream.

Option

Hospitality and fan experiences

Paddock Club, F1 Experiences, and the new 'The Out Lap' premium hospitality with LVMH turn fan interest into extra revenue.

Option

Las Vegas Grand Prix

Las Vegas is a self-promoted event, so F1 keeps more upside but also takes more risk. A recent 10-year extension through 2037 provides long-term stability to improve margins.

04 Business segments

Two racing platforms

Formula One87%modest
MotoGP13%growing fast

Segment mix uses Q1 2026 disclosed revenue: Formula One at $617 million and MotoGP at $94 million. Quarterly mix swings heavily based on race timing.

05 Risk factors

What could go wrong

Race cancellations

High impact · Medium odds

F1 lost two races early in 2026 because of Middle East conflict. While management secured Malaysia as a replacement for Bahrain, the calendar is still down to 23 races from the planned 24. High-fee races matter, so even a strong brand cannot easily ignore canceled events.

We watchAny further geopolitical event disruptions and the final revenue impact of the Malaysia replacement.

Apple audience migration

Medium impact · Medium odds

The Apple U.S. deal is growing F1 with younger fans, and total hours watched are up 13 percent. The risk is that some viewers who watched on regular TV do not follow the sport to an exclusive streaming partner over time.

We watchSpecific U.S. viewership, subscriber, and engagement metrics for F1 on Apple.

MotoGP integration

Medium impact · Medium odds

MotoGP gives Liberty a second global motorsport property, but the acquisition still has to earn its keep. The early thesis depends on commercial growth, better operations, and lower leverage after the deal.

We watchMotoGP revenue growth, adjusted profit measures, and the success of deals sourced by CAA.

Las Vegas execution

Medium impact · Medium odds

The Las Vegas GP gives F1 more control and more upside, but it also puts event risk on F1 itself. The new extension through 2037 requires the company to make it a durable profit center.

We watchTicket sales, hospitality demand, and reported profitability for the upcoming Las Vegas GP.

Complex regulation changes

Medium impact · Low odds

Formula 1 is facing a major technical regulation shift in 2026. Changes to car and engine rules can disrupt the competitive balance on the track, which could affect fan interest if one team dominates too easily.

We watchFan reception and viewership metrics during the initial 2026 races under the new technical rules.
06 Quick answers

In one breath

What does Formula One Group actually own?

It owns the commercial rights to Formula 1 and MotoGP. That means it sells hosting rights, media rights, sponsorships, and fan experiences tied to those championships.

Why was the Q2 2026 revenue down so much?

The calendar featured four fewer races in the second quarter of 2026 compared to 2025. This timing shift caused a $410 million drop in primary revenue, even though underlying demand actually grew.

Is MotoGP already helping the stock story?

It helps by adding another global racing platform, and management recently secured long-term agreements with all teams through 2031. The harder proof will be sustained growth, better margins, and lower leverage.

07 Research standards

Sources and research notes

This page combines Finn's company research with public filings and other cited materials. The thesis is reviewed when material company information changes; Finn Scores use the latest available scoring data.

Thesis reviewed
August 23, 2026
Score data
September 6, 2026
Reviewed by
Shivam Bharuka
  1. Formula One Group Q2 2026 earnings transcript
  2. Formula One Group Q2 2026 Form 10-Q
  3. Formula One Group Q1 2026 earnings transcript
08 Explore the industry

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Companies near Formula One Group in Finn's Entertainment industry ranking.

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