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HL Metals & Mining · Silver · North America · Precious metals · Thesis updated August 11, 2026

Silver pivot and new growth pipeline bets

01 Running thesis

Clean silver story, new project bets

Hecla sold Casa Berardi, cut down debt, and made the company much more focused on silver in the United States and Canada. That focus matters because silver prices have been high, and the core mines are throwing off cash.

The main problem is Keno Hill. This mine was supposed to be the next growth step, but management now says key permits may not arrive until mid-2029. Until then, investors should expect a more steady rate, or even a slower rate if short-term relief does not come. The company did recently receive a permit to expand the tailings storage facility, which is a positive step for the long-term plan.

To fix the growth gap, management introduced three new internal projects. These include a pyrite circuit and tailings reprocessing at Greens Creek, plus a potential Midas mill restart. The pyrite circuit is targeted to cost between $40 million and $60 million, potentially starting production by late 2027. These projects are in very early stages of study. If they stumble, Hecla is mostly a cash-flowing operation heavily dependent on silver prices and its two mature mines.

Aug 2026Management detailed the Greens Creek pyrite circuit, estimating $40 million to $60 million in capital to add silver production, and secured a tailings permit at Keno Hill.
Aug 2026The Q2 2026 Form 10-Q outlined new internal growth projects to offset Keno Hill delays. These projects carry early-stage execution and metallurgical risks.
May 2026Management said Keno Hill's key amended permits may not arrive until around mid-2029. That pushes the main growth catalyst out by several years.
May 2026The Q1 2026 Form 10-Q confirmed the Casa Berardi sale, but gave more detail on Keno Hill tailings, waste rock, and water limits.
Feb 2026Management pointed to rapid deleveraging and a path to a debt-free balance sheet in 2026. Keno Hill also posted its first full year of profitability under Hecla ownership.
Feb 2026Hecla agreed to sell Casa Berardi for up to $593 million in total consideration. The deal focused the company on silver, though much of the value was deferred or contingent.
Nov 2025Net leverage fell to 0.3x and all four producing assets generated positive free cash flow for a second straight quarter.
Nov 2025Hecla kept Casa Berardi running to benefit from high gold prices, helping near-term cash flow. New groundwater and permit risks at Keno Hill offset part of that good news.
02 Business model

Ore in, metal out

Hecla mines ore, processes it, and sells concentrates and doré to third-party smelters and refiners. Its main product is silver. It also sells gold, lead, and zinc that come out of the same ore.

Those extra metals are important. Hecla treats gold, lead, and zinc as by-product credits. Their value lowers the reported cost of each silver ounce. Because silver now makes up the vast majority of sales, the company is directly tied to silver prices.

The model breaks when permits, mine grades, labor, power, or metal prices move the wrong way. The new internal growth pipeline adds risk because the projects have not passed final economic or technical reviews.

03 Product portfolio

What Hecla sells

Cash cow

Silver

Silver is the main product at Greens Creek, Lucky Friday, and Keno Hill. It drives the story and most of the metal sales.

Steady

Gold

Gold mainly comes from Greens Creek after the Casa Berardi sale. It helps lower silver costs through by-product credits.

Steady

Lead

Lead is sold from the silver mines as part of concentrate shipments. It is smaller than silver, but it helps lower cash costs.

Steady

Zinc

Zinc is another by-product from the core mines. Higher zinc prices make reported silver costs look better.

04 Business segments

Three mines do the work

Greens Creek61%flat
Lucky Friday27%flat
Keno Hill11%modest
Other1%declining

Mix is based on Q1 2026 sales from continuing operations in Hecla's Form 10-Q. Greens Creek and Lucky Friday made up about 88% of total Q1 sales, keeping the company concentrated in two mature assets.

05 Risk factors

What can break

New growth project execution

High impact · Medium odds

Hecla is betting on new internal projects like the Greens Creek pyrite circuit to replace Keno Hill growth. These are in early stages of technical and economic review. If capital costs run higher than the estimated $40 million to $60 million or metallurgy fails, the growth story stalls again.

We watchUpdates on engineering studies and initial capital estimates for the Greens Creek pyrite circuit.

Keno Hill permit clock

High impact · High odds

Keno Hill needs amended permits to remove long-term limits on waste rock and tailings. Management expects to submit a project proposal by year-end 2026, with amended permits possible around mid-2029. Any delay pushes the project further out.

We watchThe project proposal submission, regulatory review timing, and any change to the mid-2029 permit target.

Keno Hill capacity squeeze

High impact · Medium odds

While the company received a permit to expand the tailings storage facility, broader waste rock limits remain tight. Without short-term regulatory relief, production could slow or stop entirely before long-term permits arrive.

We watchWaste rock limit updates and talks on short-term relief.

Silver and gold price reversal

High impact · Medium odds

Recent results were helped by much higher realized prices for silver and gold. If prices fall, by-product credits shrink and cash flow can drop quickly.

We watchRealized silver and gold prices, by-product credits, and free cash flow at Greens Creek.
06 Quick answers

In one breath

Is Hecla mainly a silver company now?

Yes. After selling Casa Berardi in early 2026, Hecla is focused on silver assets in North America. It still sells gold, lead, and zinc as by-products.

What is the main issue at Keno Hill?

Keno Hill needs permit changes for waste rock and tailings. Management expects key amended permits around mid-2029, so the mine may stay at a steady or slower rate until then.

What are the new growth projects?

Management recently outlined plans to study a pyrite concentrate circuit and tailings reprocessing at Greens Creek, along with a potential Midas mill restart. These could add production by late 2027 or 2028.

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