Finn
ORA Renewable Power · Geothermal · Energy storage · Data centers · Thesis updated August 11, 2026

Geothermal growth and battery cash, with real execution risk

01 Running thesis

A cleaner growth story, not a cheap one

Ormat is a rare public pure play on geothermal power. Its base business is steady. It builds power plants, owns them, and sells the electricity under long contracts. That makes it different from many wind and solar developers, because geothermal can run day and night.

The bull case continues to advance. Management officially introduced the Ormega100, a standardized 100-megawatt unit meant to make EGS plants easier and cheaper to build over time. The company also confirmed active talks for EGS power contracts at higher prices than traditional geothermal. At the same time, the Energy Storage segment had a massive second quarter, proving it can capture high merchant power prices.

The bear case is that some of this growth is temporary and risky. Management clearly stated that the strong power prices that boosted second quarter storage results will normalize lower in the second half of the year. Also, the company gave no new updates on the large overdue bills from key customers in Kenya and Honduras.

Finn scores are middling, with the weakest read on valuation and financial health. That fits the story. Ormat owns valuable assets and has real long-term upside, but investors are paying ahead of proof on EGS, storage margins, and customer collections.

Aug 2026Second quarter earnings showed a massive 195 percent jump in Energy Storage revenue due to favorable power prices. Ormat also introduced the Ormega100 unit to help scale EGS projects.
Jun 2026SLB and Ormat named Desert Peak, Nevada, as the preferred site for their EGS pilot. Ormat also introduced the Ormega100 unit, making the EGS plan more specific.
May 2026Q1 added useful detail on EGS pilots, including 2 to 4 MW sizes and 2027 initial production. The same update cooled the storage story, since Q1's 59.1% gross margin came from temporary merchant pricing.
May 2026The Q1 filing showed overdue receivables of $31.3 million from KPLC and $26.5 million from ENEE. Partial April payments helped, but customer payment risk remains live.
Feb 2026Ormat signed a long-term geothermal portfolio PPA to supply up to 150 MW of new capacity for Google's data center needs through NV Energy's Clean Transition Tariff program.
Feb 2026Management guided 2026 revenue to $1,110 million to $1,160 million and said the 2026 financial impact from curtailments should be far lower than in 2025.
Nov 2025Product and Energy Storage growth stayed strong in Q3, but overdue balances from Kenya and Honduras made customer concentration harder to ignore.
Nov 2025Ormat announced EGS partnerships with SLB and Sage Geosystems and said it was in final talks on large hyperscaler PPAs. That strengthened the long-term data center demand case.
02 Business model

Own the plant, sell the power

Ormat makes money in three ways. First, it owns power plants and sells electricity, mostly through power purchase agreements, or PPAs. A PPA is a long-term contract that says who buys the power, how much they buy, and often what price they pay.

Second, Ormat sells equipment and services to other geothermal and recovered energy projects. Its key product is the Ormat Energy Converter, or OEC, which turns heat into electricity. The company introduced the new Ormega100 to standardize this equipment for larger EGS plants.

Third, Ormat owns battery storage projects. These batteries can earn money by selling power, capacity, and grid services. This can grow fast, but it can also swing with power prices, which is why the recent storage profits should not be treated as a normal run rate.

Management has set 2028 targets to reach 1.65 to 1.75 GW of Electricity capacity and 950 to 1,050 MW of Energy Storage capacity. Reaching those targets will take capital, permits, customers, and reliable project execution.

03 Product portfolio

Power plants, parts, and batteries

Cash cow

Electricity

This is the owned power plant business. Ormat develops, builds, owns, and operates geothermal, solar PV, and recovered energy plants, then sells electricity to utilities and large buyers.

Steady

Products

This segment sells geothermal and recovered energy equipment, including OEC units, and provides project services. Revenue dropped in the second quarter due to project timing.

Growth engine

Energy Storage

Ormat owns grid batteries that earn money from power markets and grid services. The segment is growing fast and had a massive second quarter thanks to favorable merchant prices.

Option

Enhanced Geothermal Systems

EGS tries to make geothermal work in more places by engineering the underground reservoir. The new Ormega100 unit aims to make these plants easier to build and scale.

Option

Hyperscaler PPAs

Data center operators want clean power that runs all the time. Ormat is in active talks for EGS power contracts that are expected to carry higher pricing points.

04 Business segments

Storage claims a larger share

Electricity65%modest
Product18%declining
Energy Storage16%growing fast

Segment mix is from the three months ended June 30, 2026. Electricity remains the largest piece, but Energy Storage claimed a larger share due to strong market pricing.

05 Risk factors

What can break the story

EGS does not scale

High impact · Medium odds

EGS is the biggest long-term upside and one of the biggest risks. The technology has real drilling, reservoir, well productivity, thermal recovery, induced seismicity, and permitting risks. If the pilots miss cost or output targets, the market may cut the value it gives Ormat for future growth.

We watchPermits, drilling results, 2027 initial production, and cost per MW for the SLB and Sage pilot projects.

Storage margins fall back

Medium impact · High odds

Energy Storage had a massive second quarter, with revenue surging 195 percent to $42.8 million. Favorable merchant pricing in PJM drove much of that strength. Management guided that these prices will normalize in the second half of the year, meaning the current run rate is not sustainable.

We watchQuarterly Energy Storage revenue, gross margin, and management comments on PJM merchant pricing.

Utility customers pay late

Medium impact · Medium odds

KPLC in Kenya and ENEE in Honduras are important customers, and overdue balances remain large. Ormat gave no new updates on collections during the second quarter. Slow collections can pressure cash flow and raise credit concerns.

We watchOverdue receivables from KPLC and ENEE in the next 10-Q filing.

Product revenue stays lumpy

Medium impact · Medium odds

The Product segment revenue decreased 21.6 percent in the second quarter to $46.7 million due to project timing. The $203 million backlog helps provide visibility, but timing can still swing results from quarter to quarter.

We watchProduct backlog, new contract awards, and how much revenue comes from one-time project sales.

Israel exposure disrupts operations

Medium impact · Low odds

Ormat has senior management and manufacturing facilities in Israel. Geopolitical shocks could affect people, production, shipping, or investor sentiment. This risk has not changed, but it remains important because Ormat is vertically integrated and depends on its own equipment.

We watchCompany disclosures on Israeli operations, factory output, logistics delays, or added security costs.
06 Quick answers

In one breath

What does Ormat Technologies do?

Ormat builds, owns, and operates geothermal, solar, recovered energy, and battery storage assets. It also sells geothermal equipment and services to other project owners.

Why is geothermal important for data centers?

Geothermal power can run day and night, unlike solar or wind. That makes it attractive to data centers that need clean power with steady output.

What is EGS for Ormat?

EGS means Enhanced Geothermal Systems. It uses engineering to make underground heat resources usable in more places, but Ormat still has to prove the wells, costs, and long-term output.

Why are Ormat's recent storage results risky to repeat?

The recent Energy Storage results were helped by high merchant prices in PJM. Management said it expects these merchant prices to normalize to lower levels in the second half of 2026.

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