Finn
RACE Luxury Autos · Luxury · Autos · Large cap · Thesis updated August 30, 2026

Ferrari still prices like no one else

01 Running thesis

Scarcity still does the work

The bull case is simple: Ferrari has rare pricing power. It does not need big volume growth to grow profits. It can raise price, sell richer models, and add personal touches that buyers pay extra for. Recent results prove this, with the 12Cilindri Manuale selling out a 1,499 unit run.

Personalization is now central to the story. Management has guided personalization rates to account for more than 20% of revenues, helped by carbon finishes and other bespoke choices. This structural shift helps offset higher costs in the second half of the year.

The product cycle is also helping. The Ferrari Luce gives the brand its first full electric test. It was unveiled in Q2 2026 and is driving solid order intake from both repeat buyers and new clients, with deliveries expected in Q4 2026.

The bear case is not about weak demand today. It is about cost, currency, and resale values. Currency headwinds were initially guided at EUR 200 million for 2026, though a stronger U.S. dollar has softened the blow. Higher spending on digital systems, racing, lifestyle, and the e-building can still eat into margins. The stock already prices in a lot of excellence, so merely good results may not be enough.

Jul 2026▲Thesis upgraded following strong Q1 and Q2 execution. The Ferrari Luce EV was unveiled to solid order intake, personalization rates are guided above 20% of revenues, and currency headwinds abated due to a stronger U.S. dollar.
Feb 2026→Ferrari named its first electric vehicle Ferrari Luce and confirmed a Rome reveal plus Q4 2026 deliveries. The same update added a tougher 2026 currency setup, with management guiding to about EUR 200 million of FX headwind.
Jul 2025▲Ferrari introduced the Amalfi V8, which should broaden the buyer funnel and improve the offering in China. The update also added a watch item around hybrid battery aging and warranty support.
Nov 2024▲The F80 was introduced with 799 examples already allocated, showing demand for Ferrari's rarest cars. The same call added focus on in-house electric components and U.K. resale softness for highly personalized cars.
Aug 2024▲The initial thesis was set around Ferrari's value-over-volume model. Management cited personalization near 20% of car and spare parts revenue and reaffirmed investment across combustion, hybrid, and full electric powertrains.
02 Business model

Few cars, richer tickets

Ferrari's model is built around low supply. The company calls this quality of revenues over quantity. In plain English, it would rather sell fewer cars at stronger prices than chase mass-market volume. This keeps the order book full, currently stretching through 2027.

Most revenue comes from cars and spare parts. The special part is mix. A limited model, a V12, a hybrid supercar, or a heavily personalized car can carry more profit than a plain unit. That is why the personalization rate matters so much.

Ferrari also earns from Formula 1 sponsorship and commercial rights, brand and lifestyle activity, financial services, racetrack management, and other smaller lines. These help, but the car business is still the engine.

Powertrain choice is part of the strategy. Ferrari says it is staying technologically neutral, which means it will sell combustion, hybrid, and fully electric models. That gives clients choice, but it also raises execution risk as Ferrari brings more electric motors, batteries, and axles in-house.

03 Product portfolio

The garage that matters

Cash cow

V12 icons

Models such as the 12Cilindri Coupe, Spider, and the limited 12Cilindri Manuale keep Ferrari tied to its classic sound and high-end collector base.

Growth engine

V8 and hybrid sports cars

The 296 GTS, 296 Speciale, and SF90 families sit in the higher-volume core of the lineup. Hybrids test whether buyers accept battery-assisted performance without hurting resale values.

Growth engine

Ferrari Amalfi V8

The Amalfi V8 was introduced in 2025 and is aimed at widening the buyer funnel. Management said it is more suitable for China, where taxes make the highest-priced V12s harder to sell.

Option

F80 supercar

The F80 is a limited supercar with 799 examples already allocated to collectors. It also matters because Ferrari developed key electric components in-house for it.

Option

Ferrari Luce electric vehicle

The Luce is the first fully electric vehicle from Ferrari. Unveiled in Q2 2026, it is taking orders from both traditionalists and new buyers, with deliveries expected in Q4 2026.

Cash cow

Personalization and Tailor Made

Personalization lets buyers pay for carbon finishes, colors, materials, and special details. It is one of the most important profit levers, guided above 20% of revenue.

04 Business segments

Where revenue comes from

Cars and spare parts84%modest
Sponsorship, commercial and brand11%modest
Engines0%declining
Other5%modest

The mix uses Ferrari's FY 2025 revenue by activity. Cars still dominate, so any change in order quality or resale values matters more than smaller brand lines.

05 Risk factors

What can break the story

Currency hit and margin pressure

Medium impact · Medium odds

Management initially guided to about EUR 200 million of currency headwind in 2026. While a recent stronger U.S. dollar mitigated this, currency fluctuations can still pressure margins for a company valued on high profitability.

We watchListen for updates to 2026 FX guidance and the euro to U.S. dollar rate used in management's outlook.

Used Ferrari prices soften

High impact · Medium odds

Ferrari buyers care about residual value, which means what a car may be worth later. While currently stable globally, highly personalized cars can be harder to resell because the next buyer may not want the same options.

We watchWatch U.K. resale listings, auction prices, and management comments on residual values for personalized and hybrid cars.

Hybrid battery concerns return

Medium impact · Medium odds

Management has already discussed buyer worries about battery aging and added warranty support. If those worries rise again, demand for hybrid models could weaken or buyers could ask for more protection.

We watchTrack adoption of Ferrari's battery warranty scheme and resale gaps between hybrid and combustion models.

Electric execution at the e-building

High impact · Medium odds

Ferrari is bringing electric motors, high-voltage battery modules, and axles further in-house. That can protect know-how, but it adds manufacturing and quality risk.

We watchWatch Luce delivery timing, early owner feedback, recalls, and any comments on e-building ramp costs.

Costs rise faster than price

Medium impact · Medium odds

Ferrari is spending more on digital infrastructure, racing, lifestyle, and the e-building. If these costs become permanent while price and mix slow, industrial free cash flow can disappoint.

We watchWatch SG&A growth, capital spending, and industrial free cash flow versus management guidance.
06 Research standards

Sources and research notes

This page combines Finn's company research with public filings and other cited materials. The thesis is reviewed when material company information changes; Finn Scores use the latest available scoring data.

Thesis reviewed
August 30, 2026
Score data
September 27, 2026
Reviewed by
Shivam Bharuka
  1. Ferrari Q2 2026 earnings call transcript
  2. Ferrari Q1 2026 earnings call transcript
  3. Ferrari Q4 2025 earnings call transcript
  4. Ferrari Q2 2025 earnings call transcript
  5. Ferrari Luce corporate article
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