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SBAC Communications Infrastructure · REIT · Wireless towers · Dividend · Thesis updated August 11, 2026

Tower rents are steady, and share buybacks have returned

01 Running thesis

A cleaner setup, not a clean one

SBAC is a simple business at its core. It owns tower space that wireless carriers need. The baseline case is that this rent base stays steady while carriers keep adding equipment to handle more mobile data.

The bull case improved in the second half of 2026. Management announced a return to share buybacks, showing confidence in the balance sheet. They also pointed to edge computing for artificial intelligence as a new reason carriers will need more power and fiber at tower sites. The newly added Millicom towers in Central America are also seeing stronger colocation demand than first expected. A colocation means a new tenant adds equipment to an existing tower, which is highly profitable.

The bear case is still real. Sprint, EchoStar, and Oi churn are all hitting the model in 2026. EchoStar is no longer just a possible tenant problem in guidance. SBAC removed the revenue and filed a lawsuit tied to non-payment. Management also warned that higher interest rates are hurting carrier willingness to spend at past levels.

This makes SBAC a transition story. If churn peaks in 2026 and fades in 2027, growth could look cleaner. The return of buybacks helps support the stock, but the company still needs U.S. carriers to increase network spending for growth to truly accelerate.

Aug 2026Management reinstated share repurchases for the second half of 2026. They also cited edge computing for AI applications as a new long-term growth driver.
May 2026The Q1 2026 filing added a clear warning that higher rates are reducing carrier willingness to spend at prior levels. That raises the risk that U.S. organic leasing growth stays slower.
Apr 2026Management raised 2026 guidance after a solid Q1, helped by leasing strength and currency tailwinds. Millicom tower demand was better than expected, but buybacks paused while debt paydown took priority.
Feb 2026SBAC removed future EchoStar revenue from its outlook after non-payment and filed a lawsuit. Sprint and Oi churn were also quantified as major 2026 headwinds.
Nov 2025A new 10-year Verizon master lease improved U.S. revenue visibility. SBAC also finished a major portfolio shift by adding Millicom towers in Central America and selling Canada.
Apr 2025Domestic leasing improved, with new business signings at a multi-year high and a heavier mix of colocations. The company also exited the Philippines and Colombia, but warned that international churn could last longer.
Feb 2025The U.S. leasing cycle showed a stronger shift toward higher-value colocations. SBAC also kept moving toward Central America through the Millicom deal while leaving smaller markets.
Oct 2024The initial view framed SBAC as a tower REIT with steady long-term data demand, a possible U.S. leasing recovery, and near-term churn from carrier consolidation.
02 Business model

Renting scarce tower space

SBA Communications is a real estate investment trust, or REIT, focused on wireless infrastructure. A REIT owns income-producing property and must pay out much of its taxable income to shareholders. The property here is mainly macro towers, rooftops, and other sites that hold antennas.

Wireless carriers lease space on these sites under long-term contracts. Leases generally run for an initial term of five years to fifteen years, with renewal options. Many leases also have rent escalators, meaning rent can rise each year by contract or an inflation formula.

The model works best when a tower gets more tenants without much more cost. Once the tower is built, adding another carrier often costs less than building a new site. That is why colocation demand matters so much.

The weak points are also clear. Carrier mergers can remove duplicate network equipment, which creates lost rent or churn. High interest rates can slow carrier capital spending. SBAC also carries the burden of being a capital-heavy business, so debt costs and refinancing matter.

03 Product portfolio

What SBAC sells

Cash cow

Domestic site leasing

This is the U.S. tower rent business. It benefits from long leases and the 10-year Verizon master lease, but 2026 includes Sprint and EchoStar churn.

Growth engine

International site leasing

This includes towers in South America, Central America, and Africa. Millicom assets are helping growth, while Brazil churn tied to Oi remains a 2026 drag.

Growth engine

Colocation leases

Colocation happens when another tenant adds equipment to an existing tower. It is attractive because SBAC can earn more rent from an asset it already owns.

Steady

Amendment leases

Amendments let current tenants add or change equipment. They are a normal part of wireless upgrades.

Option

Site development services

This smaller U.S. business helps carriers with design, site work, zoning, construction, and equipment installation. It is more project-based than tower rent.

04 Business segments

Profit comes from leasing

Domestic site leasing71%flat
International site leasing27%modest
Site development2%flat

The mix is based on Q1 2026 segment operating profit disclosed in the March 31, 2026 Form 10-Q. Domestic and international site leasing together produced 98.5% of total segment operating profit, so services are a small side business.

05 Risk factors

What could break the story

2026 churn does not fade

High impact · Medium odds

SBAC expects domestic cash site leasing churn of $132.0 million to $136.0 million in 2026, partly from Sprint and EchoStar. It also expects international churn of $36.0 million to $40.0 million, partly from Oi wireline. The bull case needs these headwinds to peak and then ease.

We watchWatch 2026 churn updates and any 2027 commentary on Sprint, EchoStar, and Oi.

Carrier capex stays weak

High impact · Medium odds

Management said higher interest rates have hurt carrier ability and willingness to spend at prior levels. If the U.S. carriers slow new work, domestic organic growth may stay muted.

We watchWatch AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile network capex plans, plus SBAC domestic leasing activity.

EchoStar recovery disappoints

Medium impact · Medium odds

SBAC removed EchoStar revenue from its 2026 outlook after non-payment and filed a lawsuit. This locked in a tenant loss unless SBAC recovers cash through litigation. The timing and amount remain open questions.

We watchWatch court updates and any management comments on recoveries from EchoStar or DISH.

Edge computing delays

Low impact · Medium odds

Management cited artificial intelligence edge computing as a new growth driver, but it may take years to translate into signed leases and measurable revenue.

We watchWatch for specific tenant announcements related to AI or edge infrastructure.

International volatility offsets Millicom gains

Medium impact · Medium odds

The Millicom tower purchase is helping Central America, and early colocation demand is ahead of expectations. But international markets also bring currency, political, regulatory, and consolidation risks. Brazil is still a key churn watchpoint.

We watchWatch international billings, Brazil churn, currency moves, and Millicom colocation trends.
06 Quick answers

In one breath

How does SBA Communications make money?

SBAC leases space on towers and other wireless sites to carriers. The carrier pays rent to place antennas and equipment on the site, often under long-term contracts with annual rent increases.

Why is churn such a big issue for SBAC in 2026?

Churn means a tenant cancels, does not renew, or reduces rent. In 2026, SBAC is dealing with Sprint consolidation, EchoStar non-payment, and Oi-related international churn.

Did SBAC stop buying back stock?

They paused buybacks in early 2026 to focus on paying down debt. However, management announced they would resume share repurchases in the second half of 2026 after improving their balance sheet.

Is SBAC mainly a U.S. company?

The U.S. is the largest profit source. Still, SBAC also owns and operates towers in South America, Central America, and Africa, with Brazil and Guatemala called out as large tower-count markets.

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