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ZION Regional Banks · Western U.S. · Net interest income · Commercial lending · Thesis updated September 13, 2026

Margins expand as credit stabilizes and fee income grows

01 Running thesis

From credit cleanup to margin expansion

Zions faced severe credit fears in 2024 when classified loans jumped. That fear has largely faded. Credit metrics are stable, with nonperforming assets flat at 0.48% in the 2026 second quarter. Net charge-offs remain exceptionally low.

The bull case is now shifting from credit repair to earnings growth and margin expansion. Net interest margin expanded to 3.27% recently, driven by lower funding costs. The closing of the Basis Investment Group acquisition in July 2026 adds another growth avenue by expanding noninterest income capabilities in the multifamily space.

The bear case focuses on deposit costs and intense funding competition. While noninterest-bearing deposits grew by $1.4 billion recently, the growth was primarily a mechanical shift of an existing consumer product. If the bank cannot organically grow granular deposits, rising funding pressures could threaten the expected gains in net interest margin.

Aug 2026▲The second quarter 10-Q showed net interest margin expanding to 3.27% due to lower funding costs. The company also closed its acquisition of Basis Multifamily Finance I, LLC.
Jul 2026▲Management issued an optimistic outlook for net interest income, projecting potential upper single-digit growth over the next 12 months. Credit quality remained stable, and the Basis Investment Group acquisition is on track to close in the third quarter.
May 2026▲The 2026 first quarter filing showed classified loans falling again to $2.3 billion, or 3.80% of total loans. Nonperforming assets also improved to 0.48%, making the credit cleanup case stronger.
Feb 2026▲The 2025 annual filing showed classified loans down to $2.4 billion, or 3.91% of total loans, from $2.9 billion, or 4.83%, a year earlier. The thesis shifted toward the final phase of credit normalization.
Nov 2025▲Classified loans fell by $300 million to $2.4 billion in the third quarter of 2025. A $60 million fraud-related provision was a concern, but the filing framed it as tied to two related borrowers rather than a broad credit issue.
Aug 2025▲The second quarter of 2025 showed the first clear move from stabilization to resolution. Classified loans declined to $2.7 billion, while nonperforming assets stayed low at 0.51%.
May 2025→The first quarter of 2025 showed classified loans holding roughly flat at $2.9 billion, or 4.82% of total loans. That did not solve the issue, but it reduced fear of a continuing credit spiral.
02 Business model

Deposits in, loans out

Zions operates as a classic regional bank. It gathers deposits from customers and lends that money out at higher rates. The difference between interest earned and interest paid is net interest income, which accounts for about 78% of net revenue.

The model relies heavily on keeping deposit costs low and avoiding large loan losses. When deposits are stable, the bank generates steady cash flow. Zions also earns noninterest income through commercial account fees, wealth management, and capital markets services.

The weak point is funding competition and credit cycles. A loan book can look fine until borrowers struggle to refinance or face higher rates. Zions navigated a rough patch in commercial real estate, but the focus has now turned to managing deposit pricing against aggressive competitors.

03 Product portfolio

Loans are the product

Cash cow

Commercial lending

This is the largest loan group at 52.3% of the portfolio. It includes commercial and industrial loans, owner-occupied real estate, municipal finance, and equipment leasing.

Steady

Consumer lending

Consumer loans are 24.8% of the portfolio. The main pieces are 1-4 family mortgages and home equity lines of credit.

Steady

Commercial real estate lending

CRE is 22.9% of the loan portfolio. It includes construction, land development, and term loans. The Basis Investment Group acquisition added Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac agency lending programs to this suite.

Cash cow

Deposit accounts

Deposits are the bank's main funding source. Noninterest-bearing demand deposits were 33% of deposits, which helps funding costs when balances stay in place.

Option

Fees and wealth services

Noninterest income comes from customer services such as commercial account fees, capital markets fees, and wealth management. The Basis Investment Group acquisition adds new capital markets revenue.

04 Business segments

A Western loan book

Commercial lending52%modest
Consumer lending25%flat
Commercial real estate23%declining

The mix below uses the loan portfolio split cited in recent filings. Commercial lending is concentrated in Texas at 25.2%, Utah and Idaho at 20.4%, and California at 20.0%.

05 Risk factors

What could still break

Deposit costs surge

High impact · Medium odds

The bank faces intense competition for deposits. If granular deposit growth initiatives fail, the bank may have to pay higher rates to keep funds, which would compress the expected net interest margin.

We watchTotal deposit costs and noninterest-bearing deposit balances.

Classified loan cleanup stalls

High impact · Low odds

The central thesis depends on classified loans continuing to fall or stay low. If progress stops, investors may treat the credit issue as delayed rather than solved.

We watchClassified loans as a percent of total loans.

Deposit migration reverses

Medium impact · Medium odds

Recent deposit growth relied partly on migrating consumer interest-bearing products to noninterest-bearing offerings. If these deposits do not stick long-term, funding costs could rise.

We watchNoninterest-bearing deposit balances and outflow rates.

Basis acquisition integration struggles

Medium impact · Low odds

The closed acquisition of Basis Investment Group is expected to boost capital markets revenue. If the integration is messy or the revenue run-rate falls short, noninterest income could disappoint.

We watchManagement commentary on Basis Investment Group revenue contribution in Q3 and Q4.
06 Quick answers

In one breath

What does Zions Bancorporation do?

Zions is a regional bank based in Salt Lake City. It serves customers mainly across 11 Western states through deposits, commercial loans, real estate loans, consumer loans, and related banking services.

Why do classified loans matter for Zions?

Classified loans are loans the bank has marked as higher risk. For Zions, this metric became the main investor concern after a large 2024 increase, so the recent decline is a major sign that credit risk is easing.

Is Zions mainly a commercial real estate bank?

No. Commercial real estate is important at 22.9% of the loan portfolio, but commercial lending is larger at 52.3%. The reason CRE gets so much attention is that it drove much of the earlier classified loan jump.

What is the next key thing to watch for ZION?

Watch whether the bank achieves its projected upper single-digit growth in net interest income. Additionally, monitor the revenue contribution from the closing of the Basis Investment Group acquisition.

07 Research standards

Sources and research notes

This page combines Finn's company research with public filings and other cited materials. The thesis is reviewed when material company information changes; Finn Scores use the latest available scoring data.

Thesis reviewed
September 13, 2026
Score data
September 27, 2026
Reviewed by
Shivam Bharuka
  1. Zions 2026 Q2 10-Q
  2. Zions 2026 Q2 Earnings Transcript
  3. Zions 2026 Q1 10-Q
  4. Zions 2025 Q3 10-Q
08 Explore the industry

Comparable Banks - Regional companies

Companies near Zions Bancorporation, National Association in Finn's Banks - Regional industry ranking.

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